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USDCHF to lows, around mid 0.9900's in Pre NFP trade

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The ongoing slide in the US bond yields kept the USD bull on the defensive. The reviving demand benefited the CHF and added to the selling bias.

Friday's key focus will remain on the US monthly jobs report for September.

The USDCHF pair remained under some heavy selling pressure through the European session on Friday and retreated farther from  2 and a half month tops set in the previous session.

The pair on Thursday once again met with some fresh supply near the 1.0025-30 region and finally settled below the parity mark on the back of some aggressive USD selling following the disappointing release of USD ISM non-manufacturing PMI for September.

The Greenback was further pressurized by a sharp intraday slump in the US Tresury bond yields, amid growing FED rate cut expectations, though a late rebound in the US equities weighed on the Swiss Franc's safe-haven demand and extended some support to the major.

Weak Equities/USD prompts unwinding trade

The pair continued with its struggle to find acceptance above the 1.00 handle and witnessed some long-unwinding trade on Friday in the wake of some following-through slide in the US bond yields, which continued exerting some downward pressure on the buck.

This coupled with a weaker trading sentiment around equity markets and some repositioned trade ahead of today's trade on monthly jobs report-further collaborated to the pair's slide back towards the very important 200-day SMA support near mid-0.9900s.

It could however, remain to be seen if the current pullback marks the end of the recent positive momentum or attract some fresh buying at lower levels as market participants look forward to the headline US NFP print and the closely watched wage growth data for a fresh directional impetus.


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US NFP amongst market drivers today

Latest NFP News today.

The Danske Bank analysts point out that today of jobs report in the United States of America and they expect non-farm payrolls to have grown by 100,000 in September, below Bloomberg consensus of 140,000.

Key Notes:

"While the non-farm figure tends to be volatile, the employment indices in the Market PMI and the ISM reports do not look encouraging (and actually signal that jobs growth was even lower than our expectation of 100,000).


A weak jobs report will likely add fuel to the repricing of the FED seen this week.

Today also provides the opportunity to listen to Fed comments from Rosengren, Botstic and Powell, who are scheduled to speak. Powell is the only making opening marks at a "Fed Listen" event though, so we would not get our hopes up too high that he will give out new monetary-policy signals.

CMRFOREX analysts expects a bullish run today.

NFP news analysis updates for 04-10-2019_US Economy still bold, fundamental analysis is strong

NFP latest updates for 04-10-2019 on cmrforex news.

Comments out form Chicago Fed Chief Evans, as he now speaks on the US economic outlook and UD-China trade dispute.

Take Note:

The US economic outlook is quite good, fundamentals are still strong and will surely come to a bull.
The trade tensions between US and China remain uncertain but companies waiting for resolution to make investment decisions.

The US economy continues to grow above trend.


If unexpected shocks impact world or US economy modest poplicy adjustments won't be nearly enough.

Take a careful ear to these statements as we gear up for 04th Oct, 2019.
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CMRFOREX INC sees USDJPY dropping further near 106.30 region

Trade this pair @CAMRFOREX analysis.

CMRFOREX Latest News Analysis...

Analyzers at CMRFOREX see USDJPY dropping further and visiting the 106.30 region in the near term.

QUOTES TO GRAB

24-hour: While we expected USD to extend its decline to 107.50 yesterday, the manner by which USD crashed through 107.50 and dropped to 107.03 came as a surprise.

Downward moment has picked up strongly and from here, USD is expected to weaken further to 106.75 (minor support is at 107.00). On the upside, 107.60 is expected to be strong enough to cap any intraday recovery in USD ( Minor resistance is at 107.35).

Next 1-2 weeks: We downgraded the upside risk for USD yesterday, I mean 02 Oct. spot at 107.75 and held the view that USD has moved back into a sideways-trading phase. CMRFOREX expected USD to test 108.45.

However, the rapid way in which USD approaches the bottom of our expected sideways trading range of 107.00/108.45 came as a surprise. Downward momentum has picked up considerably and from here, USD is expected to trade with a downward bias towards the next support at 106.35.

All in, the risk for USD for the next week or so is tilted to the downside unless it can move above 107.90 ( strong resistance level)

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